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Topic: The cost of success?

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The cost of success?

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Okay,  so we win automatic promotion to the Championship at the end of this current season. What then? We still have a 12,000 seater stadium.  For our efforts we are awarded approximately two million pounds with add-ons.  Some players' wage demands will no doubt increase.  Season ticket prices may increase? Would demand fall for said season tickets?  At the beginning of this season I would have been content with a mid-table finish by the end of this season. 

 

In spite of all the above, I'm really enjoying the football and the fact that we are at the top of the table. We have some quality players in the squad. But why am I being so negative about the possibility of Championship football next season? Maybe it's because of previous short lived forays into the Championship. Getting battered by multi-million pound teams every other week. Also the threat of becoming a debt ridden club.

The cost of success?  Is it all worth it? 

 

UTM!



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Only way it would change is if the Rotherham public would fill the home seats then increase the capacity. That won't happen. Only other way that would make it a more level playing field is higher points reductions at least for clubs who break the fair play league ect...

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Attendances aren't a massive driver of success. An extra say 3000 home supporters paying an average of say £15 per ticket (once you have allowed for children, juveniles, pensioner etc) means £45,000 extra revenue per game. Multiply that by 23 games and that is extra revenue of just over £1m in a season. Small beer in the Championship.

Of course I accept that is a very crude bit of modelling - there would be extra revenue from merchandise etc. But there is also a cost to adding size to the stadium. I think the point stands though - a couple of thousands extra home fans per game doesn't make an enormous difference when you see that other clubs in that league get parachute payments of £40m a year or have owners putting £50m in or whatever by 'buying' the stadium like Derby and Wednesday and others have.

Brentford are often held up as an example of a club our size who have broken the mould. How have they done it? Two things. Their owner has put more than £100m in for a start which has definitely helped. Risky to do on its own though The other thing is player sales. Off the top of my head, players like Andre Gray, James Tarkowski, John Egan, Chris Mepham, Jota, Ryan Woods, Scott Hogan and Neil Maupay. They have a virtuous cycle of investing in players, selling them for massive profit and reinvesting well. Those 8 players mentioned alone went for approx. £75m between them. Currently they have Ollie Watkins - apparently they turned bids of £15m down for him in January. They have spent very little in comparison. What have we made in the same period? Perhaps £4m received for Ajayi, Vaulks and Danny Ward (after sell on clauses) and perhaps £1m paid out for a handful like Taylor, Ogbene, Ladapo and maybe a couple more combined.

We are not suddenly going to add many thousands on to our fan base overnight, it wouldn't make a vast difference anyway, and I don't want a risk-taking owner taking a punt with the club. The route to sustainability in the Championship for us is clever transfer dealings and incremental growth over a period of years.

If we go up this season, it is certain to be very tough next season. Could we stay up? Maybe but only just at best. Would I look forward to it? Sort of, but it won't be easy watching at times.



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smiler I don't know if we could police it I'm thinking more away support. Increase ground capacity to 16,000. 5 to 6 thousand away fans we could compete more.

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That's a bit confusing gwru because you said in your first post that the only way was to get Rotherham public to fill the home seats then increase capacity. More people will come if we are winning more often. To do that we need better players. How to start the virtuous cycle is the thing. For me the only risk free way is to develop and sell on good young players and reinvest well each time. That process will take several seasons and might even involve a couple of further promotions and delegations, so a bit of patience will also be needed.

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Where does this £2m come from? Last season we were told that the championship clubs money went up drastically to over £6m this season due to new football deals?

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Two, four , six or even eight million pounds doesn't cut the mustard in the Championship. Even increasing the cost of season tickets won't help our cause. Unicorns are in short supply and you can forget the pots of gold at the end of each rainbow too. And yet we are in the top spot in League 1. Mustn't grumble though.

UTM!

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I think you can be fairly certain that there will be no major investment in RUFC in terms of players or ground expansion in the near future. If I was Tony Stewart, I'd be playing things exactly the way he currently is. There appears to be a general agreement that our best chance of success and survival in the Championship is to buy and sell well. I can't imagine that our potential value in terms of the current squad members has ever been greater. Players such as Ogbene, Olosunde, Iheikwe, Thompson, Wiles, Lindsay, Lapado, Crooks and Smith all have the potential to develop into £1M plus players. Although I wouldn't want to lose any of them, a stupid transfer fee could be just what we need and would allow more potential to be bought in and sold, thereby giving us some long term insurance. However, it's a tricky game, as Barnsley will attest to.

In the meantime, I'm very happy pushing for promotion with the expectation that next season may well be difficult, but not insurmountable in terms of survival.

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